The Super 8 stage of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2026 has reached a thrilling juncture, with qualification permutations keeping fans on edge. In a group featuring the Sri Lanka, Pakistan, New Zealand, and England, only two sides will progress to the semi-finals and one team has already been eliminated.

Sri Lanka’s campaign has come to a disappointing end after consecutive defeats. They first lost to England and then suffered another setback against New Zealand, leaving them without a point and officially out of contention. Their exit has simplified the equation but intensified the battle among the remaining three teams.

England currently lead the group with four points after winning both their matches so far. New Zealand sit second with three points, having secured victories over Pakistan and Sri Lanka, while their earlier fixture against Pakistan was washed out, resulting in shared points. Pakistan, meanwhile, have just one point earned from that abandoned game after losing their second match to England.

What Pakistan Need to Qualify

Despite their poor position, Pakistan are still mathematically alive. Their qualification hopes hinge on two results. First, they must defeat Sri Lanka convincingly in their final Super 8 match. A big win is essential to boost their net run rate, which could become the decisive factor.

However, Pakistan’s fate is not entirely in their own hands. The outcome of the England vs New Zealand clash will determine whether they remain in contention. If England defeat New Zealand, Pakistan can still sneak into the semi-finals by beating Sri Lanka and surpassing New Zealand’s net run rate.

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On the other hand, if New Zealand beat England, both those teams will qualify with five and four points respectively, rendering Pakistan’s final match irrelevant.

High-Stakes Finish Ahead

With one matchday left, the group promises a dramatic finish. England are in the strongest position, New Zealand hold a slight advantage, and Pakistan must rely on both performance and fortune. For fans, it sets up a tense finale where every run and wicket could decide who advances and who heads home.